Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001485 0.001576 0.001671 0.001775 0.001888 0.002006 0.002139
2025-02-16 0.001390 0.001524 0.001667 0.001834 0.002021 0.002226 0.002469
2025-02-23 0.001286 0.001444 0.001619 0.001827 0.002070 0.002345 0.002684
2025-03-02 0.001182 0.001352 0.001545 0.001780 0.002062 0.002391 0.002807
2025-03-09 0.001105 0.001284 0.001491 0.001749 0.002065 0.002443 0.002934
2025-03-16 0.001054 0.001242 0.001463 0.001745 0.002098 0.002530 0.003105
2025-03-23 0.001002 0.001196 0.001427 0.001727 0.002109 0.002586 0.003238
2025-03-30 0.000961 0.001160 0.001402 0.001719 0.002132 0.002657 0.003389
2025-04-06 0.000917 0.001119 0.001366 0.001695 0.002130 0.002694 0.003496
2025-04-13 0.000876 0.001078 0.001328 0.001667 0.002122 0.002720 0.003587
2025-04-20 0.000824 0.001022 0.001270 0.001610 0.002070 0.002684 0.003589
2025-04-27 0.000809 0.001013 0.001271 0.001629 0.002121 0.002791 0.003795
2025-05-04 0.000790 0.000999 0.001268 0.001647 0.002178 0.002913 0.004042
2025-05-11 0.000787 0.001007 0.001295 0.001706 0.002294 0.003127 0.004440
2025-05-18 0.000761 0.000983 0.001276 0.001701 0.002319 0.003210 0.004646
2025-05-25 0.000724 0.000941 0.001232 0.001659 0.002286 0.003205 0.004713
2025-06-01 0.000693 0.000909 0.001199 0.001630 0.002272 0.003226 0.004821
2025-06-08 0.000674 0.000890 0.001185 0.001627 0.002295 0.003306 0.005027
2025-06-15 0.000651 0.000866 0.001161 0.001610 0.002296 0.003349 0.005176
2025-06-22 0.000632 0.000847 0.001146 0.001603 0.002312 0.003416 0.005368
2025-06-29 0.000611 0.000823 0.001121 0.001581 0.002303 0.003442 0.005491
2025-07-06 0.000589 0.000799 0.001094 0.001556 0.002287 0.003456 0.005591
2025-07-13 0.000560 0.000763 0.001051 0.001503 0.002225 0.003390 0.005545